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  • 1 min

The peak of the US business cycle is passed

  • 15 April 2016
  • Philippe Waechter
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I maintain that, following the production capacity utilization rate, the peak of the American business cycle has passed. This may be consistent with an unemployment rate which fell again.
The downturn in the energy sector, after the falling price of oil, spreads to the rest of the economy through a lower momentum in investment in the mining sector.
This does not suggest a recession but a shift in US activity that will be amplified by the uncertainty coming from the political campaign after the caucus of July.
usa-2016-march-tuc-enemp
On the same topic
  • 2 min

The Euro zone slows sharply in March

  • 1 April 2019
  • Actus & Chroniques

Philippe Waechter

The publication March’s Markit indices confirms the downward pressure on activity in the manufacturing sector. The leading indices published for the Euro zone, Germany and France, on March 22, have…
  • Manufacturing Sector
  • Markit
READ
  • 1 min

The shock in the manufacturing sector in Germany: IFO vs Markit

  • 25 March 2019
  • Actus & Chroniques

Philippe Waechter

The modest rebound in the IFO index in March is sometimes interpreted as the counterpoint to the drop of the Markit index released last Friday.There is indeed an opposition in…
  • IFO
  • Manufacturing Sector
  • Markit
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  • 1 min

Industrial production shrinks in Euro zone

  • 13 February 2019
  • Actus & Chroniques

Philippe Waechter

With the decline of -0.9% in December, the industrial production of the Euro zone fell by -5.3% over the last quarter (annualized rate). and -2.1% over one year. The slowdown…
  • Euro Area
  • Industrial Production
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