What if the German recovery plan was the long-awaited boost for Europe?
Since 2019, the German economy has stagnated, and the negative impact of Covid has been caught up with but not overcome. German GDP increased from 100 to 100.2 between 2019…
Philippe Waechter's blog
Europe’s dependence on America
Donald Trump is now in the White House. The MAGA (Make America Great Again) slogan he carried throughout his campaign could be translated as “me first.” It is a vision…
Europe and its industrial policy
The United States and China have chosen to strengthen their industrial policy in order to continue to innovate and stay on course for technological dynamics that generate productivity and additional…
The Wage Momentum in the Eurozone
Wage dynamics are changing within the Eurozone. In September, the increase in the salary rate, as measured by the job search site Indeed, was only 3.6% compared to 5.1% at the…
Employment – key to the European cycle momentum
The pace of economic activity in the euro area will depend on the profile of the labor market.Three starting points:1 – Surveys suggest that businesses and households are rather pessimistic. The results are everywhere below…
Inflation slows sharply in the euro area in September
The inflation rate in the euro area stood at 4.3% in September compared to 5.3% in August. This is the lowest figure since October 2021. The underlying inflation rate was 4.55% compared to 5.3%…
Germany is struggling
The German economy will be in recession this year. The GDP figures go in this direction and the cyclical indicators do not give any signals contrary to it. Yet Germany was on…
The energetic counter-shock in Europe
The coming rapid slowdown in inflation will be the break that will boost the economic cycle in Europe. I emphasized this point last week. This new dynamic is due to…