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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 84 views

Inflation is accelerating in the Eurozone, it’s not over

  • 2 March 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

The inflation rate in the Euro zone stood at 5.8% in February 2022 against 5.1% in January.The underlying inflation rate stood at 2.7% against 2.3% the previous month.The inflation overhang…
  • Commodity Prices
  • Inflation
  • Ukraine
READ
  • 18 views

Employment is on the rise in the Eurozone but productivity is a drag

  • 15 February 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

Employment in the Eurozone increased by 0.5% in the last quarter of 2021. Over one year, it increased by 2.1%. The level of employment is now higher than that seen…
  • Employment
  • Productivity
  • Wages
READ
  • 51 views

Should the ECB become aggressive?

  • 9 February 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

The ECB, after Christine Lagarde’s remarks at the February 3 press conference, is following in the footsteps of the Fed. Like the US central bank, the ECB has changed its…
  • ECB
  • Energy price
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
READ
  • 26 views

January 2022 inflation invalidates a restrictive ECB monetary policy bias

  • 2 February 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

The day before the ECB meeting, the January 2022 inflation figure sheds light on the question of monetary policy. Should it be a little restrictive or should it maintain the…
  • ECB
  • Inflation
READ
  • 17 views

In January, the business situation is robust in the Eurozone

  • 24 January 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

The Markit index for the entire economy of the Euro zone dipped in January 2022. It stood at 52.4, losing almost one point compared to December. Economic activity continues to…
  • Germany
  • Inflation
  • Markit Surveys
READ
  • 17 views

Eurozone – Inflation will be above 3% in 2022

  • 7 January 2022
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

Inflation stood at 5% in December and at 2.6% on average over the year 2021. The core inflation rate is at 2.6% over one year and at 1.5% on average.A…
  • ECB
  • Energy price
  • inflation rate
READ
  • 11 views

Activity is running out of steam in Europe, the 5th wave is the explanation

  • 16 December 2021
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

The uncertainty linked to the new variant of the Covid weighs on economic activity in December.All the survey indicators for the month are deteriorating. This is particularly the case for…
  • Business Climate
  • INSEE
  • Markit Surveys
  • United Kingdom
READ
  • 125 views

US stimulus, rising rates, the dollar and the euro area

  • 5 March 2021
  • Euro Area

Philippe Waechter

With US yields rising, the rest of the world follows in their wake.This surge is driven by two factors: 1 – the swift upturn in oil prices, which translate expectations of…
  • Biden's stimulus package
  • Interest Rates
  • Oil Price
READ
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