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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 403 views

Paul Volcker, a victim of his own success

  • 16 December 2019
  • Decoding

Philippe Waechter

Paul Volcker blazed a trail as he waged the war on inflation, and shaped the financial landscape over the past 40 years. His passing at the age of 92 signals…
  • Central Banks
  • Inflation
  • Paul Volcker
READ
  • 467 views

What to expect this week ? December 9 to 15, 2019

  • 8 December 2019
  • News & Chronicles

Philippe Waechter

UK general elections, Christine Lagarde first monetary policy meeting, the Fed pauses, ECB and Fed’s forecasts, German external trade, Chinese CPI Highlights —The main point will be the UK general…
  • China
  • ECB
  • Federal Reserve
  • Germany
  • Inflation
  • UK General Elections
READ
  • 324 views

What to expect this week: October 28 to November 3, 2019

  • 28 October 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights The Fed’s meeting with a press conference and a press release on Wednesday. Two questions: are disagreements between FOMC members remain as high as in September ? Will the…
  • Brexit
  • ECB
  • Employment
  • Euro Area
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Policy
  • US
READ
  • 279 views

What to expect next week? September 23 to 29, 2019

  • 22 September 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights Corporate surveys will highlight the business cycle foreseeable future. The IFO will be released on Tuesday 24 as will be the French Climat des Affaires. The French momentum is…
  • Business Cycle
  • Consumer Confidence
  • France
  • Germany
  • IFO
  • Inflation
  • INSEE
  • Markit
  • USA
READ
  • 382 views

What to expect next week ? (July 8 – July 14, 2019)

  • 5 July 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights External trade for Germany is the statistics I will focus on this week (July 8). Since the beginning of the year, real exports are slowing down as a consequence…
  • China
  • Euro Area
  • Germany
  • Industrial Production
  • Inflation
  • USA
  • World Trade
READ
  • 396 views

What to expect next week ?

  • 7 June 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights Chinese trade figures, industrial production and retail sales for May are key to see how China cushions the negative international trade shock. Weak number would imply new measures to…
  • China
  • EuroArea
  • Industrial Production
  • Inflation
  • USA
READ
  • 292 views

The oil price huge drop

  • 4 June 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

The oil price dropped dramatically in recent days. The reversal on expectations is the same than on interest rates. #oilprice #interestrates #recession
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Policy
  • Oil Price
READ
  • 277 views

Low inflation rate expected in 2019, lower than core inflation

  • 20 December 2018
  • Oil

Philippe Waechter

The price of oil is, on December 19, 20% below its 2018 average. The contribution of energy to the inflation rate will quickly be negative. Inflation will fall below 1%…
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Policy
  • Oil Price
READ
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