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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 46 views

Keys of the week – 30 January 2023

  • 30 January 2023
  • News & Chronicles

Philippe Waechter

Understand the macroeconomic events of the past week.The revival of the European cycle in spite of German fragility. The robustness of the French economy but a concern about real estate.…

READ
  • Business Cycle
  • ECB
  • Euro Area
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Policy
  • SP Global
  • Spain
  • USA
  • 59 views

Keys of the week – January 9, 2023

  • 12 January 2023
  • News & Chronicles

Philippe Waechter

Understand the macroeconomic events of the past week.Theme of the week: What new balance after the energy shock?

READ
  • Business Cycle
  • Euro Area
  • Inflation
  • Real Income
  • Terms of Trade
  • USA
  • 181 views

From Yesterday to Today – November 3 – France, its Public Deficit and the fragility of the Euro Area

  • 4 November 2020
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The IMF suggests that France should revive its economy but also should plan a strategy to rebalance its public finances as soon as activity picks up. Its fear is a…

READ
  • Euro Area
  • Public Finance Sustainability
  • Sovereign Debt Crisis
  • Structural Deficit
  • 326 views

What to expect this week? November 4 to 10, 2019

  • 3 November 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights The ISM global index (5) will be the major data this week. It is consistent with the GDP growth momentum and was particularly weak in September compared to what was…

READ
  • China
  • Euro Area
  • Industrial Orders
  • ISM
  • Markit
  • Trade Balance
  • US
  • 330 views

What to expect this week: October 28 to November 3, 2019

  • 28 October 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights The Fed’s meeting with a press conference and a press release on Wednesday. Two questions: are disagreements between FOMC members remain as high as in September ? Will the…

READ
  • Brexit
  • ECB
  • Employment
  • Euro Area
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • Monetary Policy
  • US
  • 262 views

What to expect this week: October 14 to 20, 2019

  • 14 October 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights Next Tuesday, the IMF will release its new forecasts. Comments are bearish, the global economic outlook will weaker than last spring or last July forecasts. In July, the world…

READ
  • Brexit
  • Euro Area
  • IMF Forecasts
  • Industrial Production
  • Japan
  • Retail Sales
  • USA
  • 288 views

What to expect this week: Sept. 30 to October 6, 2019

  • 29 September 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

The most important data of the week will be the US ISM survey for the manufacturing sector (October 1). It was at 49.1 in August down below the 50 threshold…

READ
  • Business Cycle
  • Euro Area
  • inflation rate
  • ISM
  • Markit Survey
  • 366 views

Recession risks in the Euro Area, not yet in the US

  • 23 September 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Markit surveys for September show a slow momentum in the Euro area and in the US.The synthetic index for the Euro Area (weighted average of the manufacturing and non manufacturing…

READ
  • Business Cycle
  • Euro Area
  • Markit
  • USA
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