German growth, US Industrial Production, UK retail sales, Chinese external trade and industrial production, US Jolts, Retail sales and inflation rate in the US Highlights German GDP annual growth for…
Political tensions in the Middle East could translate into a permanently higher oil price, penalizing households’ purchasing power and weakening consumption, a major support for the global economy The year…
The United States’ unilateral economic policy is generating major uncertainties on world growth and casting severe doubt over institutions and trade. Hefty risk perception was a key feature of 2019, as the White House’s trade war and systematic reprisals from China fueled the prospect of a watershed…
Durable goods orders, Chicago Fed Index on Economic Activity, Retail Sales in Japan Highlights Durable goods orders in the US for November (Dec. 23)The main source of weakness for the…
The absence of inflation gives additional margins in the event of a negative shock. The Fed is in a comfortable position The Fed is optimistic about the profile of the…
This column, “The Case Is Only Growing for an Economic Forever War”, by Shawn Donnan, was posted on the Bloomberg website. President Donald Trump’s trade war with China has become…
Highlights GDP growth for the third quarter in Germany (Nov.14) and the ZEW survey for November (Nov.12)The industrial contraction during the third quarter and the fragility seen on the services…
Highlights Next Tuesday, the IMF will release its new forecasts. Comments are bearish, the global economic outlook will weaker than last spring or last July forecasts. In July, the world…
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