What to expect this week ? December 9 to 15, 2019
UK general elections, Christine Lagarde first monetary policy meeting, the Fed pauses, ECB and Fed’s forecasts, German external trade, Chinese CPI Highlights The main point will be the UK general…
Philippe Waechter's blog
What to expect this week? November 11 to 17, 2019
Highlights GDP growth for the third quarter in Germany (Nov.14) and the ZEW survey for November (Nov.12)The industrial contraction during the third quarter and the fragility seen on the services…
The German saving rate doesn’t depend on the ECB interest rates
There is a lot of talks about the German savings rate, which is supposed to have increased recently in response to the drop in interest rates, notably the ECB rates.…
What to expect next week? September 23 to 29, 2019
Highlights Corporate surveys will highlight the business cycle foreseeable future. The IFO will be released on Tuesday 24 as will be the French Climat des Affaires. The French momentum is…
The ZEW remains weak in September
The ZEW measured as the average of its two components remains in very negative territory in September. Its reversal mentioned here and there is very relative. The expectation component is…
What to expect next week: September 9 to 15, 2019.
Highlights The ECB meeting will be the most important event of the week. Bazooka measures are expected with lower deposit rate (associated with a tiering depending on the size of…
What to expect next week ? Sep. 2 to Sep. 8, 2019.
Highlights The global economy is slowing very rapidly and the world trade was contracting in June. To anticipate the immediate future on the economic activity, companies’ surveys are key. Next…
What to expect next week ? August 26 to September 1, 2019.
Highlights > GDP figures for the second quarter in the US (29), Germany (27), Italy (30) and France (29) will give details on the composition of growth in all these…