Limited rebound in the Chinese activity
The activity does not contract any more in March but the rebound appears limited and without ripple effect. Chinese activity indices rebounded in March. The manufacturing sector index went from…
Philippe Waechter's blog
Chinese growth has disappeared
The collapse of industrial production foreshadows what the future figures could be in the Euro zone. The collapse of Chinese industrial production is spectacular. The figures were expected to decline…
Economic surveys (Markit, ISM), Capital goods orders in Germany, US employment, Chinese external trade Coming this week (March 2 – March 8) The impact of the coronavirus, US Interest rates – Central banks’ credibility at risk (What to keep in mind from last week)
Markit, ISM, US Employment Report, German Industrial Orders, Chinese External Trade but also US 10 year rate at its lowest and central banks’ credibility Highlights Markit Surveys in the manufacturing…
China and the world – the story of a revolution
China’s emergence over the past twenty years has upended the world balance. During the SARS epidemic, the world did not need to rely on China. But in today’s era and…
The drop in the official Chinese PMI – Is the Global Recession coming ?
The PMI survey for the manufacturing sector dropped to 35.7 in February, way below the weakest recorded number during the 2008 financial crisis. The index was at 38.8 in November…
On the US – China agreement
World trade is hampered by measures taken by the White House. The agreement with China reflects a degraded situation compared to the period before the trade war. We are looking…
What to expect this week ? December 16 to 22, 2019
Markit Surveys (Flash estimates for December), IFO survey, INSEE Climat des Affaires, the Italian Business Survey, the industrial production in China and in the US, Retail sales in China, Meeting…
What to expect this week ? December 9 to 15, 2019
UK general elections, Christine Lagarde first monetary policy meeting, the Fed pauses, ECB and Fed’s forecasts, German external trade, Chinese CPI Highlights The main point will be the UK general…