The Fed lowers its benchmark rate to 1.5-1.75%. It says it wants to take a break. It downplayed expectations of another cut this year. The three drops this year are consistent with the September dots’ graph. Now the real rate of the fed is negative while the unemployment rate is at 3.5%. Always a very strange configuration.
We are waiting for the press conference to find out what Powell will say about the money market, which is not stabilizing. There is a real concern.
On this latter point, the message from Powell was clear. Stay away, it is not your business. It’s a bit scary, isn’t it?