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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 2 views

François Bayrou and the wall of debt

  • 27 August 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The public debt wall is not yet a reality, nor is the call for the IMF to manage French public finances. The state is not unable to meet its commitments.…

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  • Fiscal Policies
  • Political Uncertainty
  • Public Debt
  • 0 views

Three questions for back to work – France – Part III

  • 20 August 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The government’s commitment in the 2026 budget is a deficit of 4.6% of GDP compared to 5.4% in 2025. A saving of almost 44 billion compared to 2025.The long-term goal…

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  • Fiscal Policy
  • 14 views

After the failure of the conclave

  • 24 June 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

There will ultimately be no agreement on pensions. The conclave convened by Prime Minister François Bayrou to improve the reforms implemented by the Borne government has failed. Employers’ and employees’…

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  • Retirement
  • Social Model
  • 14 views

A moratorium in the wrong direction

  • 23 June 2025
  • Climate

Philippe Waechter

The French National Assembly’s vote on the amendment relating to the moratorium on wind and solar power comes at a time when the government was due to clarify its climate…

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  • Climate Change
  • Energetic Transition
  • Renewable Energy
  • 16 views

Should we tax wealth?

  • 12 June 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

Is the Zucman tax on taxpayers with assets of more than €100 million justified? This is the question currently being debated in the French Senate. 8 points plus 1 1-…

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  • Tax System
  • Wealth
  • 9 views

The question of the social model in France – Social VAT

  • 28 May 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The level of social spending is subject to only marginal reforms since the objective is to curb its progression rather than to reverse the trend, which is probably not sustainable…

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  • Social Dynamics
  • Social VAT
  • 12 views

The question of the social model in France

  • 27 May 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The continued deterioration of public finances raises the question of financing the social model. As a reminder, social spending represented 1% of GDP in 1938, 15% in 1960, 25% in…

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  • Social Dynamics
  • 10 views

The nagging problem of public finances in France

  • 6 May 2025
  • France

Philippe Waechter

The IMF is skeptical about the French ability to control their public finances. According to April projections, the public deficit would remain close to 6% of GDP until 2030. This…

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  • Public Finance
  • Public Finance Sustainability
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