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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 542 views

Baltic Dry Index, Trade war and Coronavirus Coming this week (Feb.3 – Feb.9) and Brexit and weak business cycle What to keep in mind from last week (Jan. 27 – Feb.2)

  • 3 February 2020
  • News & Chronicles

Philippe Waechter

Baltic Dry Index and Trade War, Coronavirus, US Employment, Business Surveys and German Orders – Coming this week (Feb3-Feb9) – Brexit, US GDP and US Euro Area – What to…

READ
  • Baltic Dry Index
  • Brexit
  • Coronavirus
  • Euro Area GDP
  • German Orders
  • Trade War
  • US employment
  • US GDP
  • 556 views

A very relevant column on the new stages of the trade war

  • 19 November 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

This column, “The Case Is Only Growing for an Economic Forever War”, by Shawn Donnan, was posted on the Bloomberg website. President Donald Trump’s trade war with China has become…

READ
  • China
  • Donald Trump
  • Trade War
  • USA
  • 338 views

What to expect next week ? August 19 to August 25, 2019.

  • 19 August 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Highlights > Discussions on trade war between China and the US have been the main trigger for financial markets last week. It will continue as China is ready for retaliation.…

READ
  • China
  • Markit Survey
  • Trade War
  • US Real Estate Market
  • USA
  • 330 views

Macro 2 pager – Short term dynamics

  • 5 June 2019
  • Economic Outlook

Philippe Waechter

The document contains in two pages the main articulations of global macro dynamics as I see them.The document is available here Macro-2Pagers-Scenario-June 4 2019

READ
  • Business Cycle
  • Growth
  • Monetary Policy
  • Trade War
  • 471 views

US-Chinese tension makes for a fascinating time in history

  • 20 May 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

Donald Trump’s tweets on May 5 fueled tension between China and the US, dramatically triggering renewed speculation on the conditions of any fresh trade deal. China retaliated to fresh US…

READ
  • China
  • Trade War
  • US
  • 693 views

The Fed will stay on the path to higher rates in 2019 – My Monday column

  • 24 September 2018
  • My Monday Column

Philippe Waechter

This post is available in pdf format Federal Reserve – My monday Column The Federal Reserve meets on September 25 and 26, and a 25bps hike to the fed funds…

READ
  • Brexit
  • Federal Reserve
  • Interest Rates
  • Trade War
  • US
  • 352 views

Is a currency war a credible Chinese retaliation measure?

  • 20 July 2018
  • China

Philippe Waechter

What could happen if China transforms the trade war into a currency war? An excellent article you have to read on Quartz qz.com/1329777/the-us-china-trade-war-could-turn-into-a-currency-war-next/amp/

READ
  • Currency Wat
  • Trade War
  • 390 views

Trade War Erupts On No. 1 U.S. Farm Export to China

  • 6 July 2018
  • World Economy

Philippe Waechter

The Chinese’s retaliation measures have a strong impact on soybean. The US price of soybean has dropped dramatically while at the same time its price in Brazil is surging. Brazil…

READ
  • China
  • Soybean
  • Trade War
  • US
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