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  • 1 min

What to expect next week ? (August 12 – August 18, 2019)

  • 9 August 2019
  • Philippe Waechter
  • Germany
  • Growth
  • Interest Rates
  • USA
  • What to expect
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Highlights

=> The recent volatility on financial markets, through lower interest rates, was the consequence of lower expectations on global growth after the White House announcements. In the coming week, there will be data on retail sales in the US (15), China (14) and UK (15). These data will show the robustness of the domestic demand. If these data are strong in the US and in China, financial arbitrage may be modified in favor of risky assets

=> GDP growth in Germany will be, in the Euro Area, the most important indicator of the week (14). The industrial production index dropped dramatically in the second quarter (-7.5% at annual rate) and this downturn is consistent with a negative growth figure (probably more than the consensus at -0.1%).
The ZEW survey for August (13) will highlight the duration of this drop —Employment figures in the Euro Area and the detail for GDP will be released on August the 14th.

=> Employment figures will be important as the unemployment rate is low now (7.5% in June) and the economic dynamics is lower.

 

 

NextWeek-August12-August18_2019

Related Topics
  • Germany
  • Growth
  • Interest Rates
  • USA
  • What to expect
On the same topic
  • 3 min

Growth and inflation in China argue for a very accommodative monetary policy

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  • International

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The slowdown in growth and the very low inflation in China will lead to the implementation of a very accommodating monetary policy. This has already started and will continue throughout…
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Inflation – Have central banks lost control?

  • 13 December 2021
  • International

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Central bankers are meeting this week. The Fed will give its verdict on Wednesday while the ECB and Bank of England speak on Thursday.This series of meetings comes as inflation…
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From Today to Tomorrow – November 19 – Gold, the US real rate and German exports

  • 19 November 2020
  • International

Philippe Waechter

The rise in the price of gold was halted by improving prospects for the US economy and society. Last summer price of $ 2000 was probably excessive. But this is…
  • German Exports
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