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Philippe Waechter's blog

DIRECTOR OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, OSTRUM AM

A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy

  • 348 views

Inversion of the US yield curve

  • 28 May 2019
  • International

Philippe Waechter

  • Federal Reserve
  • Monetary Policy
  • Récession
  • Yield Curve
READ
  • 227 views

The flattening of the yield curve and the possibility of a recession in the US.

  • 5 December 2018

    Philippe Waechter

    First step the 5yr-2yr spread is now null before being negative with the Fed tightening. Then the 10yr-2yr will flatten before being negative for the same reason. This has always…
    • Monetary Policy
    • Récession
    • US
    • Yield Curve
    READ
    • 541 views

    What the Fed Is Missing

    • 23 July 2018
    • Financial Markets

    Philippe Waechter

    A complement to my recent post on the signal brought by an inverted yield curve on the economic activity. The Federal Reserve isn’t worried about the yield curve, and it…
    • Economic Activity
    • Federal Reserve
    • Yield Curve
    READ
    • 889 views

    The flattening of the US yield curve is a source of concern – This time is not different

    • 19 July 2018
    • Monetary Policy

    Philippe Waechter

    Jerome Powell said that the yield curve flattening was not a source of concern and that it wasn’t showing a risk of recession as the economy is following a strong…
    • Récession
    • Yield Curve
    READ
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