International finance in 2025*
Like the real economy, finance is disoriented by recent economic and political developments.Gold is at its highest, and long-term rates in Germany have risen as never before following the announcement…
Inflation is not a monetary phenomenon
Inflation stories are all different. While price increases are tending to normalize in the Eurozone and the United States, China is on the verge of becoming deflationary, and Japan, long…
Chinese growth rethought by the authorities
For many months, since its exit from confinement, the Chinese economy has been worrying. Its growth is weaker and it is worrying because without resolving the imbalance in the real…
Keys of the Week, March 11 2024
My point of attention: Countries in the South are driving growth in the EurozoneNext week’s update: US inflation rate Six themes this week =>What if inflation did not fall in…
Positive real interest rate: a new world opens
New regime change on the debt market, inflation and long-term interest rates are now on an equal footing. A little over two years ago, investors had to successively face a…
The Wage Momentum in the Eurozone
Wage dynamics are changing within the Eurozone. In September, the increase in the salary rate, as measured by the job search site Indeed, was only 3.6% compared to 5.1% at the…
The $100 oil price?
The price of oil, at 92 dollars yesterday, is increasing and could quickly approach 100 dollars per barrel which is the average price observed over the whole of 2022. What is the dynamic behind…